H. Con. Res. 22 (110th)Bill Overview

Urge President to Notify NAFTA Withdrawal

Concurrent ResolutionForeign Trade and International Finance|CanadaCustoms unions
Cosponsors
Support
Bipartisan
Introduced
Jan 10, 2007
Discussions
Bill Text
Current stageCommittee

Referred to the Subcommittee on Trade.

Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
Congressional Activities
01 · The brief
Concurrent ResolutionWhat this resolution actually does

This resolution expresses the sense of Congress that the President should give written notice to withdraw the United States from NAFTA under the agreement's withdrawal provision. It asks the President to act in accordance with Article 2205 of NAFTA. The resolution does not itself force the President to act or change U.S. law. It is a formal statement of congressional opinion urging the executive branch to take a specific step.

Passage rules

Concurrent resolutions must be passed by both the House and the Senate but are not presented to the President and do not have the force of law.

This concurrent resolution expresses the sense of Congress that the President should give written notice of withdrawal from the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) under Article 2205.

It cites widened U.S. trade deficits, workers applying for trade adjustment assistance, and border safety concerns as reasons for withdrawal notice.

Passage0/100

Concurrent resolution cannot create binding law; even passage would only express a nonbinding sense urging presidential action.

CredibilityPartially aligned

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a clear, narrowly constructed expression of Congressional sentiment that identifies specific concerns and cites the treaty article governing withdrawal. As a non-binding concurrent resolution, it appropriately remains brief and declaratory, but it lacks timing, impact assessment, fiscal acknowledgment, and accountability mechanisms.

Contention65/100

Progressives emphasize job losses and using withdrawal as leverage

02 · What it does

Who stands to gain, and who may push back.

Likely benefits vs burdens50% / 50%
Likely helpedManufacturers · Consumers

These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.

Likely helped
  • Potential benefitCould prompt renegotiation or termination of NAFTA to protect domestic manufacturing jobs.
  • Potential benefitSupporters might argue withdrawing could help reduce U.S. trade deficits with Canada and Mexico.
  • Potential benefitCould enable stricter cross-border trucking controls, potentially improving road safety and inspections.
Likely burdened
  • ManufacturersCould disrupt integrated North American supply chains, raising costs and reducing manufacturers' competitiveness.
  • Potential burdenMay provoke retaliatory measures harming U.S. exporters and agricultural producers.
  • ConsumersCould increase consumer prices for imported goods previously tariff-free under NAFTA.
03 · Why people split

Why the argument around this bill splits.

Progressives emphasize job losses and using withdrawal as leverage
Progressive85%

Likely supportive.

The text highlights job losses, trade deficits, and border/security risks tied to NAFTA, aligning with concerns about NAFTA's labor and economic impacts.

Many on the left view withdrawal as a way to pressure renegotiation or correct harmful trade outcomes.

Leans supportive
Centrist55%

Cautiously mixed.

Views the resolution as a political tool that could be useful to press for renegotiation, but worries about economic disruption and prefers careful cost-benefit analysis before withdrawal.

Favors measured steps and congressional oversight.

Split reaction
Conservative30%

Leans toward opposition.

Mainstream conservatives valuing free markets and lower barriers to trade will see withdrawal as risky for economic growth.

Some may sympathize with security arguments, but most would prefer targeted fixes and stronger enforcement instead of withdrawal.

Likely resistant
04 · Can it pass?

The path through Congress.

Introduced

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Committee

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Floor

Still ahead

President

Still ahead

Law

Still ahead

Passage likelihood0/100

Concurrent resolution cannot create binding law; even passage would only express a nonbinding sense urging presidential action.

Scope and complexity
24%
Scopenarrow
24%
Complexitylow
Why this could stall
  • Whether leadership prioritizes or schedules the measure for floor consideration
  • Stakeholder lobbying intensity for or against NAFTA withdrawal
05 · Recent votes

Recent votes on the bill.

No vote history yet

The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.

06 · Go deeper

Go deeper than the headline read.

Included on this page

Progressives emphasize job losses and using withdrawal as leverage

Concurrent resolution cannot create binding law; even passage would only express a nonbinding sense urging presidential action.

Unlocked analysis

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a clear, narrowly constructed expression of Congressional sentiment that identifies specific concerns and cites the treaty article governing withdrawal. As a non-b…

Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.

Perspective breakdownsPassage barriersLegislative design reviewStakeholder impact map
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