H.R. 122 (119th)Bill Overview

Original LAW Act

Labor and Employment|Housing finance and home ownershipLabor and Employment
Sponsor
Cosponsors
Support
Democratic
Introduced
Jan 3, 2025
Discussions
Bill Text
Current stageCommittee

Referred to the House Committee on Education and Workforce.

Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
Congressional Activities
01 · The brief
Plain-English summaryWhat this bill actually does

This bill raises the federal minimum wage in stepped amounts from $10.59 in 2026 to $26.59 in 2030. Beginning January 1, 2031, and every seven years thereafter, the Secretary will set the minimum wage so a worker earning 1,799 hours annually makes an income 40% above the Federal supplemental poverty threshold for a renter family of four with two minor children, with publication in the Federal Register.

Why people may split

Progressives emphasize poverty reduction and living-wage alignment.

Watch point

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill creates a clear substantive change to the Fair Labor Standards Act by setting an explicit multi‑year minimum wage schedule and a recurring, poverty‑based formula for future adjustments.

This bill raises the federal minimum wage in stepped amounts from $10.59 in 2026 to $26.59 in 2030.

Beginning January 1, 2031, and every seven years thereafter, the Secretary will set the minimum wage so a worker earning 1,799 hours annually makes an income 40% above the Federal supplemental poverty threshold for a renter family of four with two minor children, with publication in the Federal Register.

The Secretary may not reduce the wage below the rate already in effect.

Passage18/100

Ambitious national wage increases make passage difficult absent broad bipartisan coalition or budget reconciliation vehicle; administrative formula alone does not lower political resistance.

CredibilityPartially aligned

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill creates a clear substantive change to the Fair Labor Standards Act by setting an explicit multi‑year minimum wage schedule and a recurring, poverty‑based formula for future adjustments. It assigns administrative responsibility and timing for determinations and publication.

Contention72/100

Progressives emphasize poverty reduction and living-wage alignment.

02 · What it does

Who stands to gain, and who may push back.

Likely benefits vs burdens50% / 50%
WorkersWorkers

These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.

Likely helped
  • WorkersRaises hourly pay for many current minimum-wage workers through scheduled increases.
  • WorkersLikely increases low-wage workers' disposable income and consumer spending capacity.
  • Potential benefitMay reduce reliance on means-tested public assistance for some low-income households.
Likely burdened
  • WorkersRaises labor costs for employers, potentially reducing hiring or profit margins.
  • WorkersMay prompt reduced hours, increased automation, or fewer entry-level positions for some workers.
  • WorkersBusinesses may pass higher labor costs to consumers through increased prices for goods and services.
03 · Why people split

Why the argument around this bill splits.

Progressives emphasize poverty reduction and living-wage alignment.
Progressive95%

Generally strongly supportive.

The bill ties the minimum wage to a living-income measure and phases in a level consistent with many living-wage calculations.

Progressives will welcome the scheduled increases and the long-term indexing to a poverty-based threshold.

Leans supportive
Centrist65%

Cautiously supportive but pragmatic.

The centrists see clear poverty-reduction intent and predictability, but worries about macro and local economic impacts, implementation timing, and effects on small businesses.

Would favor additional impact studies or targeted supports.

Split reaction
Conservative15%

Likely opposed.

Conservatives will view scheduled large federal wage increases as undue federal interference that raises business costs, risks jobs, and ignores regional labor-market differences.

They will prefer lower, state-driven or market-based approaches.

Likely resistant
04 · Can it pass?

The path through Congress.

Introduced

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Committee

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Floor

Still ahead

President

Still ahead

Law

Still ahead

Passage likelihood18/100

Ambitious national wage increases make passage difficult absent broad bipartisan coalition or budget reconciliation vehicle; administrative formula alone does not lower political resistance.

Scope and complexity
86%
Scopesweeping
52%
Complexitymedium
Why this could stall
  • No CBO or cost estimate provided
  • Drafting inconsistency naming agency for poverty threshold
05 · Recent votes

Recent votes on the bill.

No vote history yet

The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.

06 · Go deeper

Go deeper than the headline read.

Included on this page

Progressives emphasize poverty reduction and living-wage alignment.

Ambitious national wage increases make passage difficult absent broad bipartisan coalition or budget reconciliation vehicle; administrative…

Unlocked analysis

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill creates a clear substantive change to the Fair Labor Standards Act by setting an explicit multi‑year minimum wage schedule and a recurring, poverty‑based formula for…

Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.

Perspective breakdownsPassage barriersLegislative design reviewStakeholder impact map
Open full analysis