H.R. 1425 (119th)Bill Overview

To amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to increase the amount of the child tax credit, to make such credit fully refundable, to remove income limitations from such credit, and for other purposes.

Taxation|Taxation
Cosponsors
Support
Republican
Introduced
Feb 18, 2025
Discussions
Bill Text
Current stageCommittee

Referred to the House Committee on Ways and Means.

Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
Congressional Activities
01 · The brief
Plain-English summaryWhat this bill actually does

This bill amends Internal Revenue Code section 24 to raise the child tax credit from $1,000 to $5,000 per qualifying child, remove statutory income limitations and related subsections, and adjust territorial application rules. It also repeals a now-unused administrative provision (section 7527A).

Why people may split

Disagreement over whether benefits should be universal or targeted

Watch point

Substantive, popular-sounding expansion but large fiscal cost and removal of income limits create intra-chamber resistance.

This bill amends Internal Revenue Code section 24 to raise the child tax credit from $1,000 to $5,000 per qualifying child, remove statutory income limitations and related subsections, and adjust territorial application rules.

It also repeals a now-unused administrative provision (section 7527A).

The changes apply to taxable years beginning after December 31, 2024.

Passage30/100

Substantial fiscal expansion with few offsetting provisions and no compromise features reduces chances absent major political tradeoffs.

CredibilityPartial

How solid the drafting looks.

Contention72/100

Disagreement over whether benefits should be universal or targeted

02 · What it does

Who stands to gain, and who may push back.

Likely benefits vs burdens50% / 50%
Likely helpedFederal agencies · Workers

These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.

Likely helped
  • Potential benefitIncreases disposable income for families with children, especially low- and middle-income households.
  • Potential benefitFully refundable credit ensures families with little or no tax liability receive the full benefit.
  • Potential benefitLikely reduces child poverty and improves child wellbeing by providing larger direct cash support.
Likely burdened
  • Federal agenciesSubstantially increases federal expenditures, likely raising budget deficits absent specified offsets.
  • WorkersExpanded unconditional payments could reduce labor supply incentives for some recipients.
  • Potential burdenBroader refundability may increase improper payments and fraud without enhanced enforcement measures.
03 · Why people split

Why the argument around this bill splits.

Disagreement over whether benefits should be universal or targeted
Progressive85%

Likely strongly supportive overall because benefits to low-income families increase substantially.

Concern exists that removing income limits gives benefits to wealthy households and the bill lacks explicit offsets.

Leans supportive
Centrist55%

Supportive of stronger child support but wary of cost and universality.

Would favor modifications to limit fiscal impact and ensure clear implementation and oversight.

Split reaction
Conservative20%

Likely opposed overall because it expands refundable benefits, removes income limits, and increases federal spending materially.

Some conservatives might prefer child tax relief, but not this unfunded universal expansion.

Likely resistant
04 · Can it pass?

The path through Congress.

Introduced

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Committee

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Floor

Still ahead

President

Still ahead

Law

Still ahead

Passage likelihood30/100

Substantial fiscal expansion with few offsetting provisions and no compromise features reduces chances absent major political tradeoffs.

Scope and complexity
86%
Scopesweeping
52%
Complexitymedium
Why this could stall
  • Projected fiscal cost and CBO score not included
  • Level of bipartisan support in both chambers
05 · Recent votes

Recent votes on the bill.

No vote history yet

The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.

06 · Go deeper

Go deeper than the headline read.

Included on this page

Disagreement over whether benefits should be universal or targeted

Substantial fiscal expansion with few offsetting provisions and no compromise features reduces chances absent major political tradeoffs.

Unlocked analysis

Pro readers get the full perspective split, passage barriers, legislative design review, stakeholder impact map, and lens-based policy tradeoff analysis for To amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to increase the amo…

Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.

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