H.R. 2133 (119th)Bill Overview

Lakes Before Turbines Act

Taxation|Taxation
Cosponsors
Support
Republican
Introduced
Mar 14, 2025
Discussions
Bill Text
Current stageCommittee

Referred to the House Committee on Ways and Means.

Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
Congressional Activities
01 · The brief
Plain-English summaryWhat this bill actually does

This bill amends the Internal Revenue Code to bar the federal investment tax credit (ITC) for offshore wind facilities located in the inland navigable waters of the United States (excluding the Great Lakes). The change is effective for taxable years beginning after December 31, 2022, removing ITC eligibility for such projects.

Why people may split

Progressives emphasize climate and renewable deployment harms

Watch point

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a straightforward, narrowly scoped substantive amendment to the Internal Revenue Code that identifies a specific tax provision to be limited and supplies an effective date.

This bill amends the Internal Revenue Code to bar the federal investment tax credit (ITC) for offshore wind facilities located in the inland navigable waters of the United States (excluding the Great Lakes).

The change is effective for taxable years beginning after December 31, 2022, removing ITC eligibility for such projects.

Passage30/100

Targeted rollback of a renewable-energy tax incentive faces organized industry and stakeholder opposition and needs broad legislative vehicles to clear both chambers.

CredibilityPartially aligned

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a straightforward, narrowly scoped substantive amendment to the Internal Revenue Code that identifies a specific tax provision to be limited and supplies an effective date. The draft, however, lacks precision in operative wording, does not define key terms or address transitional and boundary issues, and omits fiscal and oversight particulars that would improve clarity for administration and compliance.

Contention65/100

Progressives emphasize climate and renewable deployment harms

02 · What it does

Who stands to gain, and who may push back.

Likely benefits vs burdens50% / 50%
Federal agenciesFederal agencies

These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.

Likely helped
  • Federal agenciesReduces federal subsidies for turbines in inland waterways, potentially protecting lake and river shorelines.
  • Potential benefitMay preserve recreational and commercial navigation uses by discouraging turbine siting in inland waters.
  • Potential benefitCould lower environmental and visual impacts on inland aquatic ecosystems and coastal communities.
Likely burdened
  • Federal agenciesRemoves a federal financial incentive, likely reducing the economic viability of inland-water wind projects.
  • Potential burdenCould lead to fewer clean energy projects sited in inland waters, slowing renewable deployment.
  • Potential burdenMay reduce related construction and operations jobs tied to inland offshore wind development.
03 · Why people split

Why the argument around this bill splits.

Progressives emphasize climate and renewable deployment harms
Progressive20%

Overall, a liberal/left-leaning observer would likely view this bill negatively because it removes a federal subsidy for a clean energy technology, potentially slowing renewable deployment.

They would note the bill’s narrow geographic carveout but see it as an unhelpful constraint on climate progress unless strong environmental reasons and alternatives are provided.

Likely resistant
Centrist50%

A centrist/moderate would see tradeoffs: respecting local waterway concerns has merit, but removing a federal tax incentive risks investment certainty and climate progress.

They would seek clearer definitions, cost estimates, and narrowly tailored language to balance local impacts and energy goals.

Split reaction
Conservative80%

A mainstream conservative would likely favor the bill because it ends a federal subsidy for wind projects in inland navigable waters, aligns with limited-government and taxpayer-savings principles, and protects local waterway uses.

They would view it as a reasonable restriction on where federal credits apply.

Leans supportive
04 · Can it pass?

The path through Congress.

Introduced

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Committee

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Floor

Still ahead

President

Still ahead

Law

Still ahead

Passage likelihood30/100

Targeted rollback of a renewable-energy tax incentive faces organized industry and stakeholder opposition and needs broad legislative vehicles to clear both chambers.

Scope and complexity
24%
Scopenarrow
24%
Complexitylow
Why this could stall
  • No official cost/revenue estimate included
  • Scale and coordination of industry lobbying and legal challenges
05 · Recent votes

Recent votes on the bill.

No vote history yet

The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.

06 · Go deeper

Go deeper than the headline read.

Included on this page

Progressives emphasize climate and renewable deployment harms

Targeted rollback of a renewable-energy tax incentive faces organized industry and stakeholder opposition and needs broad legislative vehic…

Unlocked analysis

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a straightforward, narrowly scoped substantive amendment to the Internal Revenue Code that identifies a specific tax provision to be limited and supplies an effect…

Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.

Perspective breakdownsPassage barriersLegislative design reviewStakeholder impact map
Open full analysis