H.R. 2848 (119th)Bill Overview

Stop Arctic Ocean Drilling Act of 2025

Energy|Energy
Cosponsors
Support
Democratic
Introduced
Apr 10, 2025
Discussions
Bill Text
Current stageCommittee

Referred to the House Committee on Natural Resources.

Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
Congressional Activities
01 · The brief
Plain-English summaryWhat this bill actually does

The bill amends the Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act to add a new subsection that prohibits the Secretary of the Interior from issuing or extending any lease or authorization for exploration, development, or production of oil, natural gas, or other minerals on Arctic areas of the outer Continental Shelf. "Arctic" is defined by reference to the Arctic Research and Policy Act of 1984.

Why people may split

Left emphasizes climate and ecosystem protection; right emphasizes energy access and jobs.

Watch point

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a concise and direct statutory prohibition that amends the Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act to bar the issuance or extension of leases or other authorizations for oil, gas, or other minerals in Arctic areas of the outer Continental Shelf.

The bill amends the Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act to add a new subsection that prohibits the Secretary of the Interior from issuing or extending any lease or authorization for exploration, development, or production of oil, natural gas, or other minerals on Arctic areas of the outer Continental Shelf. "Arctic" is defined by reference to the Arctic Research and Policy Act of 1984.

Passage35/100

Technically simple and narrowly focused, but politically sensitive energy implications and lack of compromise features reduce prospects.

CredibilityPartially aligned

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a concise and direct statutory prohibition that amends the Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act to bar the issuance or extension of leases or other authorizations for oil, gas, or other minerals in Arctic areas of the outer Continental Shelf. It clearly identifies the responsible official and the operative legal command and cites an existing statutory definition for "Arctic."

Contention70/100

Left emphasizes climate and ecosystem protection; right emphasizes energy access and jobs.

02 · What it does

Who stands to gain, and who may push back.

Likely benefits vs burdens50% / 50%
Likely helpedFederal agencies

These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.

Likely helped
  • Potential benefitReduces risk of major oil spills and long-term damage to Arctic marine ecosystems.
  • Potential benefitProtects Indigenous subsistence resources and culturally significant areas from offshore industrial activity.
  • Potential benefitLowers potential future greenhouse gas emissions associated with Arctic fossil fuel extraction.
Likely burdened
  • Federal agenciesReduces federal revenue from future lease sales and royalties tied to Arctic OCS development.
  • Potential burdenPotentially eliminates jobs and private investment associated with Arctic exploration and production.
  • Potential burdenCould shift hydrocarbon development to other regions, with uncertain effects on domestic supply.
03 · Why people split

Why the argument around this bill splits.

Left emphasizes climate and ecosystem protection; right emphasizes energy access and jobs.
Progressive90%

Likely strongly supportive as a clear legal ban on Arctic offshore fossil fuel leasing that advances climate and conservation goals.

Views the prohibition as precautionary alongside protections for Indigenous subsistence and fragile ecosystems.

Leans supportive
Centrist60%

Generally favorable but cautious — supports environmental protection while worrying about economic, legal, and energy supply tradeoffs.

Wants clear implementation details and mitigation for affected workers and leaseholders.

Split reaction
Conservative10%

Likely opposed as an unnecessary federal ban that restricts resource development, risks jobs and energy independence, and expands federal regulatory reach.

May view as poor economic policy.

Likely resistant
04 · Can it pass?

The path through Congress.

Introduced

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Committee

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Floor

Still ahead

President

Still ahead

Law

Still ahead

Passage likelihood35/100

Technically simple and narrowly focused, but politically sensitive energy implications and lack of compromise features reduce prospects.

Scope and complexity
24%
Scopenarrow
24%
Complexitylow
Why this could stall
  • Absent CBO score or revenue impact estimate
  • Potential opposition from states with Arctic economic interests
05 · Recent votes

Recent votes on the bill.

No vote history yet

The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.

06 · Go deeper

Go deeper than the headline read.

Included on this page

Left emphasizes climate and ecosystem protection; right emphasizes energy access and jobs.

Technically simple and narrowly focused, but politically sensitive energy implications and lack of compromise features reduce prospects.

Unlocked analysis

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a concise and direct statutory prohibition that amends the Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act to bar the issuance or extension of leases or other authorizations for…

Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.

Perspective breakdownsPassage barriersLegislative design reviewStakeholder impact map
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