H.R. 2932 (119th)Bill Overview

CLEAR Skies Act

Taxation|Taxation
Cosponsors
Support
Bipartisan
Introduced
Apr 17, 2025
Discussions
Bill Text
Current stageCommittee

Referred to the House Committee on Ways and Means.

Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
Congressional Activities
01 · The brief
Plain-English summaryWhat this bill actually does

The bill creates a new federal tax credit (section 45BB) paying producers a per-gallon subsidy for domestically produced, tetra-ethyl-lead-free aviation gasoline sold in the United States. The per-gallon credit phases from $1.25 in 2026 to $1.05 in 2030 and sunsets after December 31, 2030.

Why people may split

Progressives emphasize public-health and environmental benefits

Watch point

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a clearly structured tax-policy measure that specifies credit amounts, eligibility, and administrative responsibilities, and it pairs the credit with a mandated GAO study.

The bill creates a new federal tax credit (section 45BB) paying producers a per-gallon subsidy for domestically produced, tetra-ethyl-lead-free aviation gasoline sold in the United States.

The per-gallon credit phases from $1.25 in 2026 to $1.05 in 2030 and sunsets after December 31, 2030.

Producers must register and certify fuel as qualified; Treasury must issue regulations after consulting DOT.

Passage45/100

Technocratic, narrow incentive with sunset and study improves prospects, but tax expenditure and need for bipartisan coalition or package inclusion limit standalone chances.

CredibilityPartially aligned

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a clearly structured tax-policy measure that specifies credit amounts, eligibility, and administrative responsibilities, and it pairs the credit with a mandated GAO study. It integrates cleanly into the Internal Revenue Code but omits fiscal impact discussion and some enforcement and reporting detail.

Contention67/100

Progressives emphasize public-health and environmental benefits

02 · What it does

Who stands to gain, and who may push back.

Likely benefits vs burdens50% / 50%
Likely helpedFederal agencies · Consumers

These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.

Likely helped
  • Potential benefitEncourages domestic production of unleaded avgas via a per-gallon tax credit, likely increasing U.S. supply.
  • Potential benefitCould reduce lead exposure and related public health risks by accelerating transition from leaded aviation fuel.
  • Potential benefitMay create jobs in refining, distribution, and certification activities during the credit period.
Likely burdened
  • Federal agenciesReduces federal revenue through per-gallon tax credits, increasing budgetary costs from 2026 through 2030.
  • ConsumersMay not lower consumer prices if producers retain credit benefits, limiting end-user relief.
  • Potential burdenA five-year, declining credit may be insufficient to attract long-term refinery investments for high-octane fuels.
03 · Why people split

Why the argument around this bill splits.

Progressives emphasize public-health and environmental benefits
Progressive85%

Likely generally supportive because the credit promotes removal of lead from aviation fuel and reduces community exposure.

Views the measure as a targeted, market-based tool to accelerate a public-health transition.

May worry the incentive is too small or too temporary to guarantee rapid phaseout without stronger regulatory backstops.

Leans supportive
Centrist65%

Cautiously favorable as a targeted, time-limited incentive to address a clear public-health externality.

Appreciates the GAO study and sunset, but wants clarity on budgetary cost-effectiveness and actual market impacts.

Will watch regulatory guidance and pass-through evidence before full endorsement.

Split reaction
Conservative25%

Skeptical due to new federal subsidies and regulatory certification requirements.

Views the credit as a market distortion and potential fiscal cost without guaranteed consumer benefits.

May accept limited support if it demonstrably reduces regulatory mandates or fosters voluntary private solutions.

Likely resistant
04 · Can it pass?

The path through Congress.

Introduced

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Committee

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Floor

Still ahead

President

Still ahead

Law

Still ahead

Passage likelihood45/100

Technocratic, narrow incentive with sunset and study improves prospects, but tax expenditure and need for bipartisan coalition or package inclusion limit standalone chances.

Scope and complexity
24%
Scopenarrow
52%
Complexitymedium
Why this could stall
  • Estimated fiscal cost and score are not provided
  • Level of support from aviation and refining industries
05 · Recent votes

Recent votes on the bill.

No vote history yet

The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.

06 · Go deeper

Go deeper than the headline read.

Included on this page

Progressives emphasize public-health and environmental benefits

Technocratic, narrow incentive with sunset and study improves prospects, but tax expenditure and need for bipartisan coalition or package i…

Unlocked analysis

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a clearly structured tax-policy measure that specifies credit amounts, eligibility, and administrative responsibilities, and it pairs the credit with a mandated GA…

Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.

Perspective breakdownsPassage barriersLegislative design reviewStakeholder impact map
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