H.R. 37 (119th)Bill Overview

Proposing a Federal debt limit amendment to the Constitution of the United States.

Economics and Public Finance|Budget deficits and national debtBudget process
Cosponsors
Support
Republican
Introduced
Jan 3, 2025
Discussions
Bill Text
Current stageCommittee

Referred to the House Committee on the Judiciary.

Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
Congressional Activities
01 · The brief
Plain-English summaryWhat this bill actually does

This proposed constitutional amendment would cap total Federal debt (public plus intragovernmental) at 130% of GDP the first fiscal year it applies, then reduce the cap by 1 percentage point per year until it reaches 120% of GDP. Exceeding the cap requires a roll-call three-fifths vote of each House each fiscal year for a specific, enumerated excess.

Why people may split

Left emphasizes harm to social programs and crisis response flexibility.

Watch point

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a clearly defined constitutional policy proposal that sets numeric debt limits, a phased schedule, and specified exceptions while delegating considerable implementation detail to future congressional legislation.

This proposed constitutional amendment would cap total Federal debt (public plus intragovernmental) at 130% of GDP the first fiscal year it applies, then reduce the cap by 1 percentage point per year until it reaches 120% of GDP.

Exceeding the cap requires a roll-call three-fifths vote of each House each fiscal year for a specific, enumerated excess.

The President must submit a budget showing total debt within the cap for that year and the next five years.

Passage8/100

Constitutional amendments are rare; this would need supermajorities in Congress and ratification by three-fourths of states, making enactment unlikely.

CredibilityPartially aligned

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a clearly defined constitutional policy proposal that sets numeric debt limits, a phased schedule, and specified exceptions while delegating considerable implementation detail to future congressional legislation.

Contention70/100

Left emphasizes harm to social programs and crisis response flexibility.

02 · What it does

Who stands to gain, and who may push back.

Likely benefits vs burdens50% / 50%
Federal agenciesLikely burdened

These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.

Likely helped
  • Federal agenciesEncourages long-term fiscal discipline by legally capping federal indebtedness relative to GDP.
  • Potential benefitMay lower future net interest costs if debt levels decline relative to GDP.
  • Potential benefitCreates a predictable debt ceiling formula that could reassure some investors and credit markets.
Likely burdened
  • Potential burdenMay force procyclical austerity during recessions if GDP falls and the cap binds.
  • Potential burdenCould constrain emergency fiscal responses without recurrent legislative supermajority approvals.
  • Potential burdenRisk of default or cash-management crises if Congress fails to authorize necessary excesses timely.
03 · Why people split

Why the argument around this bill splits.

Left emphasizes harm to social programs and crisis response flexibility.
Progressive20%

Likely skeptical: the amendment constitutionally restricts fiscal flexibility and counts intragovernmental debt, limiting policy options.

It risks forcing spending cuts or tax measures that reduce social programs, especially during downturns or disasters.

Likely resistant
Centrist50%

Mixed view: supports fiscal responsibility but cautious about reducing constitutional flexibility.

Sees advantage in transparency and multi-year budgeting, but worries about operational and economic risks and narrow waiver scope.

Split reaction
Conservative80%

Generally supportive: sees constitutional cap as a strong tool for fiscal restraint and preventing future debt escalation.

Prefers binding limits and supermajority requirement for exceptions.

Leans supportive
04 · Can it pass?

The path through Congress.

Introduced

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Committee

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Floor

Still ahead

President

Still ahead

Law

Still ahead

Passage likelihood8/100

Constitutional amendments are rare; this would need supermajorities in Congress and ratification by three-fourths of states, making enactment unlikely.

Scope and complexity
86%
Scopesweeping
52%
Complexitymedium
Why this could stall
  • Actual congressional supermajority support levels
  • State legislatures' appetite to ratify a fiscal constitutional amendment
05 · Recent votes

Recent votes on the bill.

No vote history yet

The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.

06 · Go deeper

Go deeper than the headline read.

Included on this page

Left emphasizes harm to social programs and crisis response flexibility.

Constitutional amendments are rare; this would need supermajorities in Congress and ratification by three-fourths of states, making enactme…

Unlocked analysis

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a clearly defined constitutional policy proposal that sets numeric debt limits, a phased schedule, and specified exceptions while delegating considerable implement…

Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.

Perspective breakdownsPassage barriersLegislative design reviewStakeholder impact map
Open full analysis