H.R. 470 (119th)Bill Overview

Red Snapper Act of 2025

Public Lands and Natural Resources|Administrative law and regulatory proceduresAtlantic Coast (U.S.)
Cosponsors
Support
Republican
Introduced
Jan 16, 2025
Discussions
Bill Text
Current stageCommittee

Referred to the House Committee on Natural Resources.

Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
Congressional Activities
01 · The brief
Plain-English summaryWhat this bill actually does

The bill bars the Secretary of Commerce from issuing any interim or final rule or Secretarial Amendment that creates an area or bottom closure in the South Atlantic for species managed under the South Atlantic Snapper‑Grouper Fishery Management Plan. That prohibition remains in place until the South Atlantic Great Red Snapper Count (SAGRSC) study is complete and its data are integrated into the first Southeast Data, Assessment and Review (SEDAR) stock assessment for South Atlantic red snapper carried out after enactment.

Why people may split

Data-first approach versus precautionary closures to protect stocks

Watch point

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a clearly focused administrative restriction that ties agency rulemaking to completion and incorporation of a named scientific study.

The bill bars the Secretary of Commerce from issuing any interim or final rule or Secretarial Amendment that creates an area or bottom closure in the South Atlantic for species managed under the South Atlantic Snapper‑Grouper Fishery Management Plan.

That prohibition remains in place until the South Atlantic Great Red Snapper Count (SAGRSC) study is complete and its data are integrated into the first Southeast Data, Assessment and Review (SEDAR) stock assessment for South Atlantic red snapper carried out after enactment.

The bill includes findings emphasizing economic importance of fishing, recent survey investments, and concerns about area closures' economic impacts.

Passage35/100

Substantively narrow and non‑fiscal which aids House prospects, but constraining federal management and regional focus reduce Senate chances.

CredibilityPartially aligned

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a clearly focused administrative restriction that ties agency rulemaking to completion and incorporation of a named scientific study. The statutory mechanism is specific in its prohibition but leaves several operational details undefined.

Contention65/100

Data-first approach versus precautionary closures to protect stocks

02 · What it does

Who stands to gain, and who may push back.

Likely benefits vs burdens50% / 50%
Likely helpedLikely burdened

These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.

Likely helped
  • Potential benefitMaintains fishing access by preventing new South Atlantic area or bottom closures until study data are integrated.
  • Potential benefitReduces near-term economic disruption to recreational and commercial fishing businesses and related jobs.
  • Potential benefitRequires incorporation of independent survey data into stock assessments, potentially improving scientific information…
Likely burdened
  • Potential burdenRestricts NOAA's ability to implement timely area closures that could reduce red snapper mortality.
  • Potential burdenCould delay conservation responses if the study is prolonged or reveals urgent stock concerns.
  • Potential burdenPrioritizes one survey's incorporation before action, potentially undermining existing assessment processes.
03 · Why people split

Why the argument around this bill splits.

Data-first approach versus precautionary closures to protect stocks
Progressive35%

Likely skeptical of a blanket prohibition on area closures.

They will welcome improved data integration but worry the ban delays precautionary conservation measures.

Some impacts are speculative depending on study timing.

Likely resistant
Centrist60%

Generally supportive of integrating new, funded scientific data before major spatial closures.

However, they want safeguards so precautionary management remains possible if the study is delayed.

Views are pragmatic and conditional.

Split reaction
Conservative90%

Likely supportive; sees the bill as protecting regional fishing economies from premature closures.

Emphasizes science-based decisionmaking and state concerns.

Views the restriction as a necessary check on federal closures.

Leans supportive
04 · Can it pass?

The path through Congress.

Introduced

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Committee

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Floor

Still ahead

President

Still ahead

Law

Still ahead

Passage likelihood35/100

Substantively narrow and non‑fiscal which aids House prospects, but constraining federal management and regional focus reduce Senate chances.

Scope and complexity
24%
Scopenarrow
24%
Complexitylow
Why this could stall
  • Expected completion date and timeline for the South Atlantic study
  • Position of NOAA/NMFS and scientific advisory bodies
05 · Recent votes

Recent votes on the bill.

No vote history yet

The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.

06 · Go deeper

Go deeper than the headline read.

Included on this page

Data-first approach versus precautionary closures to protect stocks

Substantively narrow and non‑fiscal which aids House prospects, but constraining federal management and regional focus reduce Senate chance…

Unlocked analysis

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a clearly focused administrative restriction that ties agency rulemaking to completion and incorporation of a named scientific study. The statutory mechanism is sp…

Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.

Perspective breakdownsPassage barriersLegislative design reviewStakeholder impact map
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