H.R. 476 (119th)Bill Overview

No Russian Tunnel to Crimea Act

International Affairs|Civil actions and liabilityConflicts and wars
Cosponsors
Support
Democratic
Introduced
Jan 16, 2025
Discussions
Bill Text
Current stageCommittee

Referred to the Committee on Foreign Affairs, and in addition to the Committee on the Judiciary, for a period to be subsequently determined by the Speaker, in each case for consid…

Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
Congressional Activities
01 · The brief
Plain-English summaryWhat this bill actually does

The bill requires the President to impose sanctions on any foreign person who knowingly participates in constructing, maintaining, or repairing a tunnel or bridge connecting the Russian mainland with the Crimean peninsula. Authorized sanctions include asset blocking under IEEPA and visa inadmissibility and revocation.

Why people may split

All personas support sanctions but differ on oversight and evidentiary standards

Watch point

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill clearly defines the targeted problem and provides substantive legal authority for specified sanctions integrated with existing statutory frameworks.

The bill requires the President to impose sanctions on any foreign person who knowingly participates in constructing, maintaining, or repairing a tunnel or bridge connecting the Russian mainland with the Crimean peninsula.

Authorized sanctions include asset blocking under IEEPA and visa inadmissibility and revocation.

The bill includes humanitarian, international-obligation, and intelligence/law-enforcement exceptions, a presidential waiver for national-security reasons, and implementation and penalty provisions consistent with IEEPA authorities.

Passage50/100

Targeted sanctions bills often advance, but extraterritorial implications, diplomatic sensitivity, and Senate procedure create substantial uncertainty.

CredibilityPartially aligned

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill clearly defines the targeted problem and provides substantive legal authority for specified sanctions integrated with existing statutory frameworks. It specifies the principal sanctions tools and includes several exceptions and a presidential waiver option.

Contention25/100

All personas support sanctions but differ on oversight and evidentiary standards

02 · What it does

Who stands to gain, and who may push back.

Likely benefits vs burdens50% / 50%
Likely helpedLikely burdened

These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.

Likely helped
  • Potential benefitCreates a legal deterrent against foreign participation in infrastructure linking Russia to occupied Crimea.
  • Potential benefitSignals U.S. support for Ukrainian sovereignty and international law regarding Crimea.
  • Potential benefitReduces Russia's potential logistical and military reinforcement capabilities by targeting enabling infrastructure acto…
Likely burdened
  • Potential burdenMay strain diplomatic relations with countries or firms courted to participate in such projects.
  • Potential burdenCould harm legitimate commercial or civilian infrastructure activities that are mischaracterized as covered projects.
  • Potential burdenEnforcement will likely require significant investigative resources across multiple agencies and jurisdictions.
03 · Why people split

Why the argument around this bill splits.

All personas support sanctions but differ on oversight and evidentiary standards
Progressive85%

Likely supportive overall as a targeted measure to oppose Russia’s consolidation of occupied Crimea and to protect Ukrainian sovereignty.

Would welcome the humanitarian exceptions but watch for excessive executive discretion and loopholes that allow corporate complicity.

Leans supportive
Centrist70%

Generally favorable if narrowly and transparently implemented; values the bill’s clarity but wants robust oversight and clear standards for determining who 'knowingly participates' to avoid legal overreach or diplomatic blowback.

Leans supportive
Conservative80%

Likely supportive as a tough stance against Russia’s attempts to cement control over Crimea; welcomes sanctions but will scrutinize executive power breadth and potential harm to U.S. commercial interests abroad.

Leans supportive
04 · Can it pass?

The path through Congress.

Introduced

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Committee

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Floor

Still ahead

President

Still ahead

Law

Still ahead

Passage likelihood50/100

Targeted sanctions bills often advance, but extraterritorial implications, diplomatic sensitivity, and Senate procedure create substantial uncertainty.

Scope and complexity
24%
Scopenarrow
24%
Complexitylow
Why this could stall
  • Administration support or opposition
  • Standard and proof of 'knowingly participates'
05 · Recent votes

Recent votes on the bill.

No vote history yet

The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.

06 · Go deeper

Go deeper than the headline read.

Included on this page

All personas support sanctions but differ on oversight and evidentiary standards

Targeted sanctions bills often advance, but extraterritorial implications, diplomatic sensitivity, and Senate procedure create substantial…

Unlocked analysis

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill clearly defines the targeted problem and provides substantive legal authority for specified sanctions integrated with existing statutory frameworks. It specifies the…

Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.

Perspective breakdownsPassage barriersLegislative design reviewStakeholder impact map
Open full analysis