H.R. 5405 (119th)Bill Overview

Government Shutdown Prevention Act of 2025

Economics and Public Finance|Economics and Public Finance
Cosponsors
Support
Republican
Introduced
Sep 16, 2025
Discussions
Bill Text
Current stageCommittee

Referred to the House Committee on Appropriations.

Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
Congressional Activities
01 · The brief
Plain-English summaryWhat this bill actually does

The bill creates an automatic continuing appropriation mechanism in title 31, U.S. Code, that funds programs, projects, and activities at an automatic rate if Congress has not enacted regular appropriations for a fiscal year. The default funding rate is up to 94 percent of the prior year (or prior continuing resolution) for the first 90-day period, and then declines by 1 percentage point for each subsequent 90-day period; those reductions continue beyond the fiscal year until a regular appropriation or continuing resolution is enacted.

Why people may split

Extent of concern about the 94% baseline and the gradual 1% reductions: liberals worry about service cuts to vulnerable populations, conservatives worry it preserves too much spending and reduces leverage.

Watch point

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a substantive statutory change that is relatively specific in its core mechanism (automatic continuing appropriations with defined percentage rates and timed reductions) and integrates with existing appropriations law through explicit amendments and exceptions.

The bill creates an automatic continuing appropriation mechanism in title 31, U.S. Code, that funds programs, projects, and activities at an automatic rate if Congress has not enacted regular appropriations for a fiscal year.

The default funding rate is up to 94 percent of the prior year (or prior continuing resolution) for the first 90-day period, and then declines by 1 percentage point for each subsequent 90-day period; those reductions continue beyond the fiscal year until a regular appropriation or continuing resolution is enacted.

Mandatory programs and entitlements (and activities under the Food and Nutrition Act of 2008) are funded at levels needed to maintain program levels under current law and are therefore exempt from the percentage reductions.

Passage45/100

The bill proposes a significant but administratively-specified reform to avoid shutdowns, an outcome that many lawmakers and constituencies find desirable; its phased reductions and carve-outs increase its practical acceptability. Nevertheless, it alters congressional budget leverage and would be treated as an institutional reform rather than a narrow technical fix, making it harder to clear both chambers without substantial negotiation, offsets, or modification. Absent accompanying political bargains or additional offsets, the content alone suggests modest odds of enactment.

CredibilityPartially aligned

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a substantive statutory change that is relatively specific in its core mechanism (automatic continuing appropriations with defined percentage rates and timed reductions) and integrates with existing appropriations law through explicit amendments and exceptions. However, it omits several administrative, fiscal, and accountability details typically expected for a wide-ranging change to federal funding processes.

Contention55/100

Extent of concern about the 94% baseline and the gradual 1% reductions: liberals worry about service cuts to vulnerable populations, conservatives worry it preserves too much spending and reduces leverage.

02 · What it does

Who stands to gain, and who may push back.

Likely benefits vs burdens50% / 50%
Federal agencies · Local governmentsFederal agencies

These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.

Likely helped
  • Federal agenciesReduces the risk of government shutdowns and associated immediate disruptions by ensuring continuous, if reduced, fundi…
  • Local governmentsProvides greater predictability and continuity for federal employees, contractors, beneficiaries (including many entitl…
  • Potential benefitMay lower short-term economic and financial disruption and administrative costs tied to shutdowns (e.g., lost wages, co…
Likely burdened
  • Potential burdenReduces Congress's annual appropriations leverage and oversight by automatically continuing funding without the normal…
  • Federal agenciesCould impair agency operations, services, and staffing if automatic funding at 94% (and declining thereafter) produces…
  • Potential burdenMay prompt legal or constitutional challenges about separation of powers and the scope of automatic appropriations if o…
03 · Why people split

Why the argument around this bill splits.

Extent of concern about the 94% baseline and the gradual 1% reductions: liberals worry about service cuts to vulnerable populations, conservatives worry it preserves too much spending and reduces leverage.
Progressive60%

A mainstream progressive would likely welcome the bill's goal of preventing government shutdowns and the explicit protection for entitlements and SNAP, but be wary that automatic funding at a reduced rate (94% initially, then declining) could meaningfully harm discretionary programs that serve vulnerable populations.

They would see value in avoiding the economic and human-cost disruptions of shutdowns while worrying that the mechanism institutionalizes austerity by ratcheting down funding over time.

They would pay close attention to how 'rate of operations' is interpreted in practice and how the apportionment rule affects program delivery.

Split reaction
Centrist75%

A pragmatic centrist would generally view the bill as a constructive procedural fix to avoid economically and politically costly shutdowns while preserving Congress’s appropriations role, but would seek clearer guardrails.

They would appreciate an automatic backstop that provides continuity and gives negotiators more time, and the built-in declining rate creates an incentive to complete appropriations.

However, centrists would be attentive to unintended incentives, the bill’s operational definitions, and possible fiscal effects, and would prefer clarified rules about interactions with other laws and reporting requirements.

Leans supportive
Conservative40%

A mainstream conservative is likely to have mixed-to-negative views: they will welcome avoiding the political and operational harms of a shutdown and appreciate discipline signals from declining funding, but will be concerned that the bill institutionalizes a near–prior-year baseline (94%) that preserves spending levels and reduces leverage to secure spending reductions or reforms.

They will note protections for entitlements as removing an avenue to address mandatory spending, and worry the mechanism shifts power from appropriations negotiations to an automatic rule.

Some conservatives might support the bill if the starting rate were lower or accompanied by hard spending caps and offsets.

Split reaction
04 · Can it pass?

The path through Congress.

Introduced

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Committee

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Floor

Still ahead

President

Still ahead

Law

Still ahead

Passage likelihood45/100

The bill proposes a significant but administratively-specified reform to avoid shutdowns, an outcome that many lawmakers and constituencies find desirable; its phased reductions and carve-outs increase its practical acceptability. Nevertheless, it alters congressional budget leverage and would be treated as an institutional reform rather than a narrow technical fix, making it harder to clear both chambers without substantial negotiation, offsets, or modification. Absent accompanying political bargains or additional offsets, the content alone suggests modest odds of enactment.

Scope and complexity
86%
Scopesweeping
52%
Complexitymedium
Why this could stall
  • How legislative leaders and appropriations committees would view statutory removal of lapse leverage and whether they would prefer rule changes or negotiation over a statutory fix.
  • Whether CBO or other budget scorers would treat the automatic authority as changing baseline spending in ways that require offsets or trigger pay-as-you-go considerations — the bill text lacks an explicit fiscal estimate or offsets.
05 · Recent votes

Recent votes on the bill.

No vote history yet

The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.

06 · Go deeper

Go deeper than the headline read.

Included on this page

Extent of concern about the 94% baseline and the gradual 1% reductions: liberals worry about service cuts to vulnerable populations, conser…

The bill proposes a significant but administratively-specified reform to avoid shutdowns, an outcome that many lawmakers and constituencies…

Unlocked analysis

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a substantive statutory change that is relatively specific in its core mechanism (automatic continuing appropriations with defined percentage rates and timed reduc…

Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.

Perspective breakdownsPassage barriersLegislative design reviewStakeholder impact map
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