Likely helped
- No clear beneficiaries surfaced yet.
H. Res. 53 (119th)Bill Overview
Rule for H.R. 471
Simple ResolutionCongress|CongressHouse of Representatives
Current stageFloor
Motion to reconsider laid on the table Agreed to without objection.
Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
01 · The brief
Plain-English summaryWhat this bill actually does
Providing for consideration of the bill (H.R. 471) to expedite under the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 and improve forest management activities on National Forest System lands, on public lands under the jurisdiction of the Bureau of Land Management, and on Tribal lands to return resilience to overgrown, fire-prone forested lands, and for other purposes, and providing for consideration of the bill (S. 5) to require the Secretary of Homeland Security to take into custody aliens who have been charged in the United States with theft, and for other purposes.
Why people may split
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
Watch point
The next hurdle is reproducing that support in the other chamber.
Providing for consideration of the bill (H.R. 471) to expedite under the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 and improve forest management activities on National Forest System lands, on public lands under the jurisdiction of the Bureau of Land Management, and on Tribal lands to return resilience to overgrown, fire-prone forested lands, and for other purposes, and providing for consideration of the bill (S. 5) to require the Secretary of Homeland Security to take into custody aliens who have been charged in the United States with theft, and for other purposes.
Passage65/100
This bill has already passed one chamber, which is a stronger signal than introduction alone but still leaves another major hurdle ahead.
CredibilityPartial
How solid the drafting looks.
Contention62/100
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
02 · What it does
Who stands to gain, and who may push back.
Likely benefits vs burdens0% / 100%
Likely helpedLikely burdened
These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.
Likely burdened
- No clear downsides surfaced yet.
03 · Why people split
Why the argument around this bill splits.
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
Progressive—
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
Centrist—
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
Conservative—
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
04 · Can it pass?
The path through Congress.
Introduced
Reached or meaningfully advanced
Committee
Reached or meaningfully advanced
Floor
Reached or meaningfully advanced
President
Still ahead
Law
Still ahead
Passage likelihood65/100
This bill has already passed one chamber, which is a stronger signal than introduction alone but still leaves another major hurdle ahead.
Why this could stall
- The next hurdle is reproducing that support in the other chamber.
05 · Recent votes
Recent votes on the bill.
HOUSE · Jan 22, 2025
Approve resolution✓ PassedClose voteParty-line
The House formally adopted this resolution. A resolution applies only to the House and does not require the other chamber's approval or the President's signature — this vote settles the matter.
What is a approve resolution?Hide explanation
A resolution is a formal statement of opinion or decision by the chamber.
Yes 51% No 49%
Aaron Bean (FL)RR · Yes
Abraham J. Hamadeh (AZ)RR · Yes
Adam Gray (CA)DD · No
Adam Smith (WA)DD · No
Addison P. McDowell (NC)RR · Yes
Adrian Smith (NE)RR · Yes
Showing a quick cross-section of legislators, with followed members first when available.
HOUSE · Jan 22, 2025
End debate now✓ PassedClose voteParty-line
Debate was cut short. The House will proceed directly to a vote on the underlying question.
What is a end debate now?Hide explanation
In the House, this ends debate and forces an immediate vote on the main question.
Yes 51% No 49%
Aaron Bean (FL)RR · Yes
Abraham J. Hamadeh (AZ)RR · Yes
Adam Gray (CA)DD · No
Adam Smith (WA)DD · No
Addison P. McDowell (NC)RR · Yes
Adrian Smith (NE)RR · Yes
Showing a quick cross-section of legislators, with followed members first when available.
06 · Go deeper
Go deeper than the headline read.
Included on this page
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
This bill has already passed one chamber, which is a stronger signal than introduction alone but still leaves another major hurdle ahead.
Unlocked analysis
Pro readers get the full perspective split, passage barriers, legislative design review, stakeholder impact map, and lens-based policy tradeoff analysis for Rule for H.R. 471.
Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.
Perspective breakdownsPassage barriersLegislative design reviewStakeholder impact map
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