S. 1221 (119th)Bill Overview

BOLIVAR Act

Government Operations and Politics|Government Operations and Politics
Cosponsors
Support
Republican
Introduced
Apr 1, 2025
Discussions
Bill Text
Current stageCommittee

Read twice and referred to the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs.

Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
Congressional Activities
01 · The brief

The bill bars executive agencies from entering procurement contracts with any person the agency, with State Department concurrence, determines knowingly conducts significant business with Venezuelan authorities the United States does not recognize (the Maduro regime).

It creates exceptions for humanitarian, disaster relief, noncombatant evacuations, national security needs, U.S. government support activities and diplomatic mission maintenance, valid OFAC licenses, and allows a State Department waiver.

The rule applies to contracts entered during the three-year period after enactment and includes statutory definitions and congressional notification requirements for some exceptions.

Passage45/100

Clear, administrable sanctions-style procurement ban with carve-outs improves viability, but business, diplomatic, and executive-branch concerns reduce overall odds.

CredibilityPartially aligned

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill establishes a clear substantive prohibition with defined exceptions and some statutory cross-references but provides limited implementation detail, lacks fiscal/resourcing analysis, and has minimal accountability and procedural scaffolding.

Contention30/100

Progressives emphasize humanitarian safeguards and civilian impacts

02 · What it does

Who stands to gain, and who may push back.

Who this appears to help vs burden50% / 50%
Federal agenciesTargeted stakeholders
Likely helped
  • Targeted stakeholdersIncreases pressure on the Maduro regime by discouraging US government contracts with entities doing significant busines…
  • Federal agenciesReduces risk that federal procurement indirectly finances or legitimizes Venezuelan authorities.
  • Federal agenciesAligns federal contracting with United States foreign policy and sanctions toward Venezuela.
Likely burdened
  • Targeted stakeholdersCreates additional compliance costs for contractors required to identify Venezuela-related business ties.
  • Targeted stakeholdersMay shrink the pool of eligible contractors, potentially raising procurement costs or causing delays.
  • Targeted stakeholdersVague standards like 'significant business operations' and 'knowingly' could prompt legal challenges.
03 · Why people split

Why the argument around this bill splits.

Progressives emphasize humanitarian safeguards and civilian impacts
Progressive80%

Likely generally supportive because the bill seeks to isolate an authoritarian regime implicated in human rights abuses.

They would emphasize protecting humanitarian channels and avoiding harm to Venezuelan civilians, refugees, and relief operations.

Leans supportive
Centrist65%

Pragmatic support is likely if implementation is clear and administrative burdens are limited.

Concerns focus on procurement disruption, interagency coordination, and legal clarity around determinations and OFAC interplay.

Split reaction
Conservative90%

Strongly favorable toward measures that isolate and punish an illegitimate authoritarian regime.

Appreciates procurement-based pressure and maintains flexibility through waivers and national-security exceptions.

Leans supportive
04 · Can it pass?

The path through Congress.

Introduced

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Committee

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Floor

Still ahead

President

Still ahead

Law

Still ahead

Passage likelihood45/100

Clear, administrable sanctions-style procurement ban with carve-outs improves viability, but business, diplomatic, and executive-branch concerns reduce overall odds.

Scope and complexity
52%
Scopemoderate
24%
Complexitylow
Why this could stall
  • administration support or opposition
  • economic impact on affected contractors
05 · Recent votes

Recent votes on the bill.

No vote history yet

The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.

06 · Go deeper

Go deeper than the headline read.

Included on this page

Progressives emphasize humanitarian safeguards and civilian impacts

Clear, administrable sanctions-style procurement ban with carve-outs improves viability, but business, diplomatic, and executive-branch con…

Unlocked analysis

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill establishes a clear substantive prohibition with defined exceptions and some statutory cross-references but provides limited implementation detail, lacks fiscal/resou…

Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.

Perspective breakdownsPassage barriersLegislative design reviewStakeholder impact map
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