S. 1378 (119th)Bill Overview

TAME Extreme Weather and Wildfires Act

Science, Technology, Communications|Advanced technology and technological innovationsAtmospheric science and weather
Cosponsors
Support
Lean Democratic
Introduced
Apr 9, 2025
Discussions
Bill Text
Current stageCommittee

Placed on Senate Legislative Calendar under General Orders. Calendar No. 199.

Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
Congressional Activities
01 · The brief
Plain-English summaryWhat this bill actually does

The bill directs the NOAA Under Secretary to develop AI-based weather, water, wildfire, and space-weather forecasting capabilities, curate comprehensive training datasets, support research and model evaluation, and strengthen public-private partnerships. It requires public release of NOAA AI models and associated data subject to national security and legal exceptions, authorizes recruitment and retention measures for technical staff, mandates recurring reports to Congress, and authorizes multi-year appropriations (the text contains two different appropriation schedules in its versions).

Why people may split

Extent of federal role: build operational models vs. private-sector primacy

Watch point

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill functions as an administrative/operational program statute that sets goals, assigns the Under Secretary of NOAA clear responsibilities, requires datasets and reports, authorizes funding, and integrates with existing law.

The bill directs the NOAA Under Secretary to develop AI-based weather, water, wildfire, and space-weather forecasting capabilities, curate comprehensive training datasets, support research and model evaluation, and strengthen public-private partnerships.

It requires public release of NOAA AI models and associated data subject to national security and legal exceptions, authorizes recruitment and retention measures for technical staff, mandates recurring reports to Congress, and authorizes multi-year appropriations (the text contains two different appropriation schedules in its versions).

Passage55/100

Technically focused, widely useful modernization with moderate cost authorization increases chances, but implementation details, IP/data security, and appropriation timing lower certainty.

CredibilityPartially aligned

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill functions as an administrative/operational program statute that sets goals, assigns the Under Secretary of NOAA clear responsibilities, requires datasets and reports, authorizes funding, and integrates with existing law. It provides a credible high-level implementation framework but leaves substantial operational detail to agency discretion.

Contention60/100

Extent of federal role: build operational models vs. private-sector primacy

02 · What it does

Who stands to gain, and who may push back.

Likely benefits vs burdens50% / 50%
Likely helpedFederal agencies

These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.

Likely helped
  • Potential benefitImproved forecast accuracy and timeliness could reduce economic losses from extreme weather and wildfires.
  • Potential benefitPublic release of models and data could spur private innovation and commercial weather services.
  • Potential benefitTargeted funding and partnerships may create government and contractor jobs in data science and meteorology.
Likely burdened
  • Federal agenciesThe authorized funding increases federal expenditures and depends on Congress approving appropriations.
  • Potential burdenPublic release of data and models could pose national security or economic espionage risks from foreign actors.
  • Potential burdenNovel IP sharing and co-investment terms may create disputes with private partners or disincentivize commercial investm…
03 · Why people split

Why the argument around this bill splits.

Extent of federal role: build operational models vs. private-sector primacy
Progressive85%

Generally supportive because the bill invests federal capacity to improve forecasts, wildfire response, and public data access.

Cautions focus on ensuring public ownership of data, equitable impacts on vulnerable communities, and meaningful oversight of public-private IP arrangements.

Leans supportive
Centrist70%

Cautiously favorable: the bill targets operational improvements and sensible interagency collaboration but needs clearer metrics, cost controls, and phased implementation to manage risk and ensure accountability.

Leans supportive
Conservative35%

Skeptical: supports better forecasting and national-security protections, but concerned about expanded federal spending, government competition with private sector, and shared-IP/co-investment arrangements that may distort markets.

Likely resistant
04 · Can it pass?

The path through Congress.

Introduced

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Committee

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Floor

Still ahead

President

Still ahead

Law

Still ahead

Passage likelihood55/100

Technically focused, widely useful modernization with moderate cost authorization increases chances, but implementation details, IP/data security, and appropriation timing lower certainty.

Scope and complexity
52%
Scopemoderate
52%
Complexitymedium
Why this could stall
  • Which appropriation level will be final and actually funded
  • How IP-sharing/co-investment provisions will be negotiated
05 · Recent votes

Recent votes on the bill.

No vote history yet

The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.

06 · Go deeper

Go deeper than the headline read.

Included on this page

Extent of federal role: build operational models vs. private-sector primacy

Technically focused, widely useful modernization with moderate cost authorization increases chances, but implementation details, IP/data se…

Unlocked analysis

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill functions as an administrative/operational program statute that sets goals, assigns the Under Secretary of NOAA clear responsibilities, requires datasets and reports,…

Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.

Perspective breakdownsPassage barriersLegislative design reviewStakeholder impact map
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