- Potential benefitImproved S2S forecasts could enhance disaster preparedness and reduce disaster response costs.
- Potential benefitSupports workforce development through scholarships, fellowships, and hiring pathways for technical meteorology jobs.
- Potential benefitInvestments in HPC, AI, and ensemble modeling accelerate operational forecasting capabilities and scientific innovation.
FORECAST Act of 2025
Read twice and referred to the Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation.
The bill directs NOAA to strengthen subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting by funding research, multi-model ensemble systems, improved coupled data assimilation, and use of AI and unmanned systems. It requires a public Internet clearinghouse for S2S forecasts and links forecasts to impacts (storms, drought, sea ice, permafrost).
Liberals emphasize climate resilience and open data benefits
Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill establishes substantive statutory authorities to expand NOAA's S2S forecasting functions and creates a workforce development program, with explicit integrations into existing law and some funding authorizations.
The bill directs NOAA to strengthen subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting by funding research, multi-model ensemble systems, improved coupled data assimilation, and use of AI and unmanned systems.
It requires a public Internet clearinghouse for S2S forecasts and links forecasts to impacts (storms, drought, sea ice, permafrost).
It authorizes $28.5 million for FY2026 and FY2027 and additional unspecified funds for certain modeling activities.
Content is technical and noncontroversial so passage is plausible, but reliance on additional appropriations and procedural factors reduce certainty.
Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill establishes substantive statutory authorities to expand NOAA's S2S forecasting functions and creates a workforce development program, with explicit integrations into existing law and some funding authorizations. It provides clear objectives and assigns responsibilities, but leaves substantial technical, governance, and fiscal detail to subsequent agency implementation.
Liberals emphasize climate resilience and open data benefits
Who stands to gain, and who may push back.
These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.
- Potential burdenAuthorizes open-ended "such sums as necessary" expenditures, creating potential budgetary uncertainty.
- Potential burden$28.5 million limited authorization may be inadequate for large-scale operational and computing needs.
- Federal agenciesExpanded federal forecasting activities could overlap or compete with existing private-sector forecasting services.
Why the argument around this bill splits.
Liberals emphasize climate resilience and open data benefits
Overall supportive; views the bill as a targeted investment in climate resilience, disaster preparedness, and scientific capacity.
Appreciates emphasis on open forecasting, workforce development, and leveraging AI for public benefit.
Wants assurances on equitable access, sustained funding, and open data.
Generally favorable but pragmatic; supports better forecasts and workforce investment while seeking measurable outcomes, cost control, and interagency coordination.
Sees bipartisan gains from improved forecasting for agriculture, infrastructure, and emergency management.
Wants clear performance metrics and OMB/GAO oversight.
Cautiously skeptical; acknowledges benefits of improved weather warnings but worries about federal expansion, recurring costs, and bureaucratic growth.
Prefers limits on open-ended funding and stronger cost-benefit justification.
May support narrower, cost-capped provisions tied to clear outcomes.
The path through Congress.
Reached or meaningfully advanced
Reached or meaningfully advanced
Still ahead
Still ahead
Still ahead
Content is technical and noncontroversial so passage is plausible, but reliance on additional appropriations and procedural factors reduce certainty.
- No CBO cost estimate included
- Extent of appropriations actually provided
Recent votes on the bill.
No vote history yet
The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.
Go deeper than the headline read.
Liberals emphasize climate resilience and open data benefits
Content is technical and noncontroversial so passage is plausible, but reliance on additional appropriations and procedural factors reduce…
Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill establishes substantive statutory authorities to expand NOAA's S2S forecasting functions and creates a workforce development program, with explicit integrations into…
Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.