S. 2612 (119th)Bill Overview

SAFE Act

Health|Health
Cosponsors
Support
Bipartisan
Introduced
Jul 31, 2025
Discussions
Bill Text
Current stageCommittee

Read twice and referred to the Committee on Finance.

Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
Congressional Activities
01 · The brief
Plain-English summaryWhat this bill actually does

The bill amends Medicare (title XVIII of the Social Security Act) to allow physical therapists and occupational therapists to furnish separate falls risk assessments and fall-prevention services during the Medicare annual wellness visit and the initial preventive physical examination for beneficiaries who have been determined by a physician to have fallen in the previous calendar year. The changes take effect for services furnished on or after January 1, 2026.

Why people may split

Scope and cost: liberals emphasize health and equity gains; conservatives emphasize potential increased Medicare spending and need for offsets.

Watch point

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a focused substantive amendment to Medicare coverage that is legally specific about the statutory changes and effective dates but limited in operational and fiscal detail.

The bill amends Medicare (title XVIII of the Social Security Act) to allow physical therapists and occupational therapists to furnish separate falls risk assessments and fall-prevention services during the Medicare annual wellness visit and the initial preventive physical examination for beneficiaries who have been determined by a physician to have fallen in the previous calendar year.

The changes take effect for services furnished on or after January 1, 2026.

Beginning January 1, 2027, and annually thereafter, the Secretary of Health and Human Services must report to Congress on the number of falls among people aged 65+ who received treatment for pain or injury related to a fall in the previous calendar year, including year-to-year changes.

Passage40/100

On substance the bill is a modest, narrowly tailored expansion of covered preventive services that addresses a non-controversial public health problem and is administratively straightforward. These features improve its prospects compared with sweeping or ideological measures. The primary impediments are the lack of a budget offset and the fact that any expansion of Medicare benefits tends to draw fiscal scrutiny; success therefore depends on stakeholder advocacy, committee priorities, and whether Congress packages such changes with other Medicare items or offsets.

CredibilityPartially aligned

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a focused substantive amendment to Medicare coverage that is legally specific about the statutory changes and effective dates but limited in operational and fiscal detail. It also includes a recurring reporting requirement as a secondary element.

Contention50/100

Scope and cost: liberals emphasize health and equity gains; conservatives emphasize potential increased Medicare spending and need for offsets.

02 · What it does

Who stands to gain, and who may push back.

Likely benefits vs burdens50% / 50%
Federal agenciesLikely burdened

These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.

Likely helped
  • Potential benefitIncreased access to PT and OT for Medicare beneficiaries with a recent fall, which supporters say could improve mobilit…
  • Potential benefitPotential reduction in downstream acute care use (e.g., emergency visits, hospitalizations) and long‑term care needs if…
  • Federal agenciesClearer, recurring federal data on falls among older adults due to the annual HHS report, enabling policy evaluation an…
Likely burdened
  • Potential burdenHigher Medicare spending from expanded covered services and increased utilization of PT/OT, particularly if preventive…
  • Potential burdenAdditional administrative and regulatory burden on providers and CMS to implement billing, documentation, and physician…
  • Potential burdenPossible access barriers created by the requirement that a physician first determine a prior fall, which may delay or d…
03 · Why people split

Why the argument around this bill splits.

Scope and cost: liberals emphasize health and equity gains; conservatives emphasize potential increased Medicare spending and need for offsets.
Progressive85%

A mainstream progressive would likely view the bill positively as a targeted expansion of preventive, rehabilitative services for older adults that could reduce injury, disability, and reliance on pain medications.

They would note the inclusion of PT and OT in Medicare’s wellness visits as an accessibility and equity win for seniors, particularly those at higher risk of falls.

They would also point out that the bill’s title suggests addiction prevention benefits, though the text does not directly change substance use treatment or prescribing rules.

Leans supportive
Centrist70%

A moderate/centrist would likely see the bill as a narrowly targeted, commonsense expansion of preventive services for seniors that could reduce costly falls and downstream medical spending, while noting the need to monitor budgetary and administrative impacts.

They would appreciate the physician-determined eligibility as a guardrail against overuse, but want empirical evidence and ongoing evaluation of cost-effectiveness.

They would support the bill provisionally, conditioned on implementation details and data showing net benefit and manageable cost.

Leans supportive
Conservative35%

A mainstream conservative would be skeptical of expanding Medicare-covered benefits because of concerns about increased federal spending, potential for expanded bureaucracy, and the risk of overuse.

They might acknowledge the targeted nature of the change for beneficiaries who have fallen and the physician-determination requirement as limiting scope, but would press for evidence that the change reduces net costs.

Overall, they would be cautious to opposed unless fiscal offsets or strict limitations and oversight are added.

Likely resistant
04 · Can it pass?

The path through Congress.

Introduced

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Committee

Reached or meaningfully advanced

Floor

Still ahead

President

Still ahead

Law

Still ahead

Passage likelihood40/100

On substance the bill is a modest, narrowly tailored expansion of covered preventive services that addresses a non-controversial public health problem and is administratively straightforward. These features improve its prospects compared with sweeping or ideological measures. The primary impediments are the lack of a budget offset and the fact that any expansion of Medicare benefits tends to draw fiscal scrutiny; success therefore depends on stakeholder advocacy, committee priorities, and whether Congress packages such changes with other Medicare items or offsets.

Scope and complexity
24%
Scopenarrow
24%
Complexitylow
Why this could stall
  • No Congressional Budget Office (or other) cost estimate is included in the bill text; the magnitude of the budgetary impact is unknown and would influence legislative support.
  • Administrative details (billing codes, payment rates, eligibility and documentation standards for a 'physician-determined' fall) are not specified and could affect provider uptake and CMS implementation workload.
05 · Recent votes

Recent votes on the bill.

No vote history yet

The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.

06 · Go deeper

Go deeper than the headline read.

Included on this page

Scope and cost: liberals emphasize health and equity gains; conservatives emphasize potential increased Medicare spending and need for offs…

On substance the bill is a modest, narrowly tailored expansion of covered preventive services that addresses a non-controversial public hea…

Unlocked analysis

Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a focused substantive amendment to Medicare coverage that is legally specific about the statutory changes and effective dates but limited in operational and fiscal…

Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.

Perspective breakdownsPassage barriersLegislative design reviewStakeholder impact map
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