Likely helped
- No clear beneficiaries surfaced yet.
S. Res. 708 (119th)Bill Overview
A resolution amending rule XXXVII of the Standing Rules of the Senate to prohibit Senators from trading on prediction markets.
domestic policy
Current stageIntroduced
Resolution agreed to in Senate with amendments by Unanimous Consent.
Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
01 · The brief
A resolution amending rule XXXVII of the Standing Rules of the Senate to prohibit Senators from trading on prediction markets.
Passage30/100
The next-step coalition for this bill is still unclear.
CredibilityPartial
How solid the drafting looks.
Contention62/100
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
02 · What it does
Who stands to gain, and who may push back.
Who this appears to help vs burden0% / 100%
Likely helpedLikely burdened
Likely burdened
- No clear downsides surfaced yet.
03 · Why people split
Why the argument around this bill splits.
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
Progressive—
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
Centrist—
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
Conservative—
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
04 · Can it pass?
The path through Congress.
Introduced
Reached or meaningfully advanced
Committee
Still ahead
Floor
Still ahead
President
Still ahead
Law
Still ahead
Passage likelihood30/100
The next-step coalition for this bill is still unclear.
Why this could stall
- The next hurdle is moving beyond introduction and attracting a viable coalition.
05 · Recent votes
Recent votes on the bill.
No vote history yet
The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.
06 · Go deeper
Go deeper than the headline read.
Included on this page
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
The next-step coalition for this bill is still unclear.
Unlocked analysis
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