Totally true. The precedent is Daniel Kaluuya's nomination for Get Out, and I certainly think Jordan could get in. I'm just seeing a lot of people treat him as the default #3, and that feels overconfident to me.

Congress Member Profile|U.S. Representative|Republican|North Carolina District 8
Mark Harris
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Voting Record — 582
Yes75%
No25%
Present0%
Not Voting0%
Party align93%
Cross-party1%
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District Map
Congressional District 8
U.S. Census Bureau boundary data.
Social & Web
External Resources

Mark Harris
U.S. RepresentativeRepublicanNorth Carolina District 8
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Mark's ATmosphere Activity
20 recent posts · 14 sponsored · 74 cosponsored
Recent ATmosphere posts, sponsorships, and cosponsorships.
I think if you assume DiCaprio and Chalamet are in, then you're left with three spots and four guys: Ethan Hawke, Wagner Moura, Joel Edgerton, and Jordan. I would still predict Jordan gets in right now, but there is a lot of passion for each of the others.
You'd have to ask Rebecca Miller (who successfully got Apple TV to go for five hours, not two) but I doubt it. Glad you enjoyed it! I think it's amazing and was so happy to be able to contribute a couple of moments.
All good!
Need some distraction? Here are two random Oscar predictions.
1) If three foreign movies get Best Picture nominations this year, which is very possible, the Academy's old guard will start arguing that they should be ineligible.
2) The Michael B. Jordan Best Actor nomination is shakier than it looks.
Also, I've lived through too many elections in which Dems who think they're tough-minded pragmatists use "It's the economy, stupid" as code for "Stop all your petty identity-based whining or we'll cut you loose" not to treat it warily. We win when we provide a big vision that INCLUDES the economy.
You're arguing as if I just said the economy's good. I didn't, and anyone who walks down a NYC street will tell you this city is no bubble. But when Democrats get into the head that their voters only care about one thing, they sound condescending, and they screw up. Also, it's simply not true. >
You can't plan to make "the economy sucks" your main argument three years in advance.
"We are going to reverse every renaming, pull down the gold leaf, and rebuild the East Wing" should not be the Democrats' main 2028 plank, but there are worse things to run on. It's one of those visuals you can actually start executing in Week One. Do it, put it on TV, rub it in, hurt some feelings.
Reposted byMark Harris
Statement from the NYT, which is useful context, but still feel like you gotta mention it in the column!
I agree. Either he didn't disclose it to his editors either and this is a colossal violation of conflict-of-interest rules, or he did, in which case someone has a monumental amount of explaining to do.
Any Democrat who thinks it's appropriate to "find common ground" with the Republicans on issues like high school sports teams is negotiating with a political party that does not believe trans people should exist. This policy will kill people, so maybe stop wringing your hands about volleyball.
I read this in disbelief, read it a second time in disbelief, read it a third time and realized he's British.
My biggest fear is, honestly, that some genius will decide the show "should look more like something you might see on YouTube."
Best-case scenario: The Oscars get to be themselves. No length worries, the honorary awards start streaming, things loosen up. Worst case: This is a desperate attempt to youthify, and the result will look like

GIF
Seriously: I think this is weird, but that's because I'm old and like it when silly rituals stay the same. That sentimentality aside, unyoking the Academy Awards from a network that has seemed increasingly annoyed by their requirements could (COULD, not WILL) be great and liberating.
I have lots of strong feelings about this, but I'm going to lead with optimism: Apparently people think there is going to be a 2029! bsky.app/profile/thr....
Just came from Facebook, where every horrific thing that happens to Jews anywhere in the world is being greeted with, "Well, how do you like Mamdani NOW?" I'm all out of patience with this. It's an instant block for me.
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Voting History582 total votesExpandCollapse
Voting History
582 total votes
Recent roll calls with party-majority context so it is easier to scan how this member tends to vote.
| Date | Bill | Question | Position | Party Maj | Align? | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | H. Res. 1335 (119th) | Approve resolution | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-11 | H.R. 9238 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-06-10 | H.R. 8464 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-10 | H.R. 8464 (119th) | Send back to committee | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-06-10 | H.R. 8312 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-10 | H.R. 7892 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-09 | H.R. 5408 (119th) | Final passage | NO | NO | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-09 | H. Res. 1140 (119th) | Approve resolution | NO | NO | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-09 | S. 2 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-09 | S. 2 (119th) | Motion to Commit | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-06-09 | H. Res. 1140 (119th) | Motion to Discharge | NO | NO | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-09 | H. Res. 1345 (119th) | Approve resolution | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-09 | H. Res. 1345 (119th) | End debate now | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-08 | H.R. 8428 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-08 | H.R. 8466 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-05 | H.R. 2913 (119th) | Final passage | NO | NO | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-04 | H. Res. 518 (119th) | Approve resolution | NO | NO | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-04 | H.R. 8646 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-04 | H.R. 8646 (119th) | Send back to committee | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-06-04 | H. Res. 1336 (119th) | Approve resolution | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-04 | H. Res. 1336 (119th) | End debate now | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-04 | H. Con. Res. 84 (119th) | Approve resolution | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-06-03 | H. Res. 518 (119th) | Motion to Discharge | NO | NO | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-03 | H. Con. Res. 86 (119th) | Approve resolution | NO | NO | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-03 | H.R. 7726 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-03 | H.R. 7726 (119th) | Send back to committee | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-06-03 | H.R. 2860 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-03 | H. Res. 1333 (119th) | Approve resolution | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-03 | H. Res. 1333 (119th) | End debate now | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-03 | S. 254 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-06-03 | H.R. 7618 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-05-21 | H.R. 6047 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-05-21 | H.R. 1041 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-05-21 | H.R. 1041 (119th) | Send back to committee | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-05-21 | H.R. 1329 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-05-21 | H.R. 1329 (119th) | Send back to committee | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-05-20 | H. Res. 1300 (119th) | Approve resolution | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-05-20 | H. Res. 1300 (119th) | End debate now | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-05-20 | H.R. 2616 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-05-20 | H.R. 2616 (119th) | Send back to committee | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-05-20 | H.R. 1993 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-05-20 | S. 1003 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-05-20 | S. 2393 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-05-20 | H.R. 5317 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-05-20 | H.R. 4544 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-05-20 | H.R. 3234 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-05-20 | H. Res. 1299 (119th) | Motion to Suspend the Rules and Agree | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-05-15 | H.R. 8469 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-05-15 | H.R. 8469 (119th) | Approve amendment | YES | NO | ✕ | Failed |
| 2026-05-14 | H.R. 8365 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
Alignment stats consider only votes where a clear yes/no majority existed for the legislator's party. Cross-party marks divergence where the vote matched the opposite party majority. ↔ indicates cross-party divergence.
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