Cloture on the motion to proceed to the measure not invoked in Senate by Yea-Nay Vote. 51 - 45. Record Vote Number: 100. (CR S1455-1456)
The bill amends Title IX to require that recipients of federal funds may not allow a person whose sex is male to participate in athletic programs designated for women or girls. It defines sex solely by a person's reproductive biology and genetics at birth.
Whether policy protects fairness (conservative) or discriminates against transgender people (liberal).
Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a clear and narrow substantive statutory amendment that defines 'sex' for Title IX athletics and creates a specific prohibition.
The bill amends Title IX to require that recipients of federal funds may not allow a person whose sex is male to participate in athletic programs designated for women or girls.
It defines sex solely by a person's reproductive biology and genetics at birth.
The provision is added as a violation under Title IX for entities operating, sponsoring, or facilitating athletics.
Low-to-moderate likelihood: narrow statutory change but very polarizing, likely to provoke litigation and strong floor opposition in one chamber.
Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a clear and narrow substantive statutory amendment that defines 'sex' for Title IX athletics and creates a specific prohibition. The core change is articulated and placed within existing statutory text, but the bill omits implementation mechanisms, cost acknowledgement, procedural detail, and handling of foreseeable boundary conditions.
Whether policy protects fairness (conservative) or discriminates against transgender people (liberal).
These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.
Whether policy protects fairness (conservative) or discriminates against transgender people (liberal).
Likely strongly opposed, viewing the measure as a categorical exclusion of transgender women and girls from female sports.
They would see it as a federal imposition that undermines gender identity recognition and harms civil rights and wellbeing of transgender youth.
Mixed reaction: supports fairness in competitive sports but concerned about blunt categorical rule and legal fallout.
Wants practical safeguards for both equality of opportunity and non-discrimination, while minimizing federal-state conflict and litigation.
Likely strongly supportive as restoring sex-based categories based on birth biology.
Views bill as protecting fairness, safety, and opportunities for women and girls in athletics funded by the federal government.
Reached or meaningfully advanced
Reached or meaningfully advanced
Reached or meaningfully advanced
Still ahead
Still ahead
Low-to-moderate likelihood: narrow statutory change but very polarizing, likely to provoke litigation and strong floor opposition in one chamber.
The bill's opponents successfully blocked it from even reaching the debate stage. Without 60 votes to break the filibuster, the bill cannot move forward unless the vote is tried again.
This vote decides whether to end delaying tactics (filibuster) and begin formal debate on a bill. Requires 60 votes in the Senate.
Whether policy protects fairness (conservative) or discriminates against transgender people (liberal).
Low-to-moderate likelihood: narrow statutory change but very polarizing, likely to provoke litigation and strong floor opposition in one ch…
Relative to its intended legislative type, this bill is a clear and narrow substantive statutory amendment that defines 'sex' for Title IX athletics and creates a specific prohibition. The core change is articulated and…
Go beyond the headline summary with full stakeholder mapping, legislative design analysis, passage barriers, and lens-by-lens tradeoff breakdowns.